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Monday, November 28, 2011

Euro Bounces on Debt Solution Hope


Things are so bad, trader mentality suggesting that things can only get better.

Monday, November 21, 2011

The Reason Why the Euro in its Current State Will Not Continue

European Credit Crisis Set To Change Political Map

By Grant de Graf

The historic landslide victory by Spain's conservative opposition party, at the election polls, is yet another sign that the credit crisis is changing the European political map. The electorate will not buy into austerity, as has been evident by the riots in Greece and demonstrations in Spain, Portugal and Italy. Running a balanced budget or keeping a deficit in check, may be a practical blueprint to running a healthy economy, but it is not a plan that will provide a quick-fix solution to an economy that is ailing. On the contrary, irrespective of the political ramifications, it will only serve to undermine efforts by a government to restore economic prosperity.

Additionally, the communities in Germany and France will never be satisfied with financing the lunch bars of Europe's poor, which only highlights the inadequacies of the European Union. This is the asset test for the feasibility of such a union: whether tax payers are prepared to pay for the less fortunate in another country that is part of the union. Ultimately, Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIGS) must exit the Euro for those economies to benefit from a fluctuating exchange rate, to resolve the incongruousness that prevails in those markets. Ireland may survive the cut, due to the strong economic ties that it has with Britain. In the end, a Euro with Germany and France making up 90% of its constituency could survive and provide somewhat of an argument for its sustainability, even though weaknesses to the model still exist.

Conservative Party Victorious in Spanish Election

Bruce Bartlett: The Balanced Budget Amendment Delusion

This week the House of Representatives will take up a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. An idea that has been kicking around for ages, it has never overcome the hurdle of needing a two-thirds approval vote in both houses of Congress. (After which it would not require the president’s signature but would need to be ratified by three-quarters of the states to take effect.)

Paul Krugman: The World's Two Most Impressive Economies Have One Thing In Common

In a debate going on tonight in Canada between David Rosenberg, Paul Krugman, Larry Summers, and Ian Bremmer, the attendees were asked what they would do for the Canadian economy.

Why EU Growth Forecast Fell

Domestic Demand Isn't Ready To Support EU Growth
The European Commission last week published a remarkably grim outlook for the European economy, as we have already noted. The EU’s executive arm sees GDP growth next year of just 0.6%, down from its forecast just six months ago of 1.9%. The 2011 forecast was cut to 1.6% from 1.8%.

Economist's View: Paul Krugman: Legends of the Fail

Economist's View: Paul Krugman: Legends of the Fail:

The moral of the story:
Legends of the Fail, by Paul Krugman, Commentary, NY Times: ...Not long ago, European leaders were insisting that Greece could and should stay on the euro while paying its debts in full. Now, with Italy falling off a cliff, it’s hard to see how the euro can survive at all.


Iceland’s New Bank Disaster

Iceland’s New Bank Disaster

"The country is now suffering a second round of economic and financial distress stemming from the collapse of its banking system in October 2008. That crisis caused a huge loss of savings not only for domestic citizens but also for international creditors such as Deutsche Bank, Barclay’s and their institutional clients."


A Beautiful Chart On What Really Moves The Dollar

A Beautiful Chart On What Really Moves The Dollar: You know this has been the pattern day in and day out, but it's been the pattern for years now.

The euro crisis: Finito?

SILVIO BERLUSCONI'S promise to resign has done nothing to calm European bond markets. Italian bond yields are soaring today; both the two-year and the ten-year are above 7%. There are rumours that the ECB is in the market and buying heavily. If so, it's not having the desired effect. The ECB can't hope to keep yields reasonable through brute force. It will need to make an expectations-changing announcement. Will it? Italy's yields aren't the only ones rising. Markets are ditching Irish, Spanish, Belgian, and French debt too. The ten-year Treasury is back below 2%... READ MORE: